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Carpathian Journal of Earth and Environmental Sciences

An International Peer-Reviewed Open Access Journal

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ARTICLE IN » Volume 12, 2017 - Number 1

FLOODPLAIN ANALYSIS FOR DIFFERENT RETURN PERIODS OF RIVER VARDAR IN TIKVESH VALLEY (REPUBLIC OF MACEDONIA)



Ivan RADEVSKI & Svemir GORIN
Ss. Cyril and Methodius University, Faculty of Natural Sciences and Mathematics, Institute of Geography
Address: Arhimedova 3, 1000 Skopje, Republic of Macedonia
e-mail: ivan.radevski@pmf.ukim.mk, svemir@pmf.ukim.mk

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Abstract

Floodplain analysis is usually used in hydrology for calculating the possibility of high water stage features. Floods are treated like a human problem. In the concrete case was taken maximum annual stage data for a period of 34 hydrologic years (1971/72-2004/05) for Gauge station “Demir Kapija” on River Vardar and Boshava. The analysis is created using some probability distributions like Normal, Pearson distribution type III, Gumbel distribution, Log-Pearson distribution type III and Lognormal distribution. Calculated results from the water stage frequency analysis are treated with the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test and χ2 test for obtaining best fitting distribution with empirical Weibull formula. The frequency distributions results were plotted on probability paper and compared with empirical Weibull points besides the statistical testing. The best fitting distribution is Lognormal. Maximum theoretical stages of best fitting distribution for different return periods were mapped on the rivers Vardar and Boshava banks in Tikvesh Valley. The map presents all flooded areas in treating territory for different return periods.
Keywords:
  • River
  • Vardar
  • floodplain
  • probability
  • distribution
  • return
  • period
  • K-S
  • test
  • X-square
  • test
  • GIS.

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© 2017 by the author(s). Licensee CJEES, Carpathian Association of Environment and Earth Sciences. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).

How to cite

Ivan RADEVSKI & Svemir GORIN (2017). FLOODPLAIN ANALYSIS FOR DIFFERENT RETURN PERIODS OF RIVER VARDAR IN TIKVESH VALLEY (REPUBLIC OF MACEDONIA)

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